Category Archives: Elections

What happens when Texas becomes a purple state?

Democrats, Alabama, blue wave, school boards, Hixson, Breanne, red tide, judicial electionsBy Steve Brawner, © 2019 by Steve Brawner Communications, Inc.

Arkansas is now dominated by Republicans, so the outcomes of most of next year’s elections aren’t in doubt here. Our neighbor, Texas – that’s where things are getting interesting.

Texas, formerly one of the country’s reddest states, is turning a shade of purple, with potentially huge electoral consequences for the entire country.

The state has 36 House members, nine times as many as Arkansas. Twenty-three are Republicans and 13 are Democrats, and both senators are Republicans.

But four Republican House members have recently announced they are retiring – three of them in competitive districts, which is no coincidence. The latest, Rep. Kenny Marchant, is leaving office after eight terms in a Dallas district after being re-elected with only 50.6% of the vote last year.

Prior to that, Rep. Will Hurd, the only African-American Republican in the House, and one of two in Congress, announced he is not running for re-election. A critic of President Trump who represents a district on the Mexican border, he was re-elected in 2018 by fewer than 1,000 votes. Continue reading What happens when Texas becomes a purple state?

Hendren ‘not telling them no’ in 2022 governor’s race

Jim Hendren, tobacco taxBy Steve Brawner, © 2019 by Steve Brawner Communications, Inc.

Could Jim Hendren be Arkansas’ next governor? He thinks so. I told him it would be an uphill climb.

The state Senate president pro tempore from Gravette in Northwest Arkansas said he’s being encouraged to run in 2022. He said supporters approve of what Gov. Asa Hutchinson and Republican legislators are doing. And he’s not discouraging their interest.

“I am beginning to travel some and to meet with some folks and have those discussions about the challenges that we face and the things that we can bring to the table to be successful,” he said while traveling on business Monday. He later added, “I guess what I’m saying is I’m not telling them no at this point. I’m having those discussions.”

Hendren joked during a recent dinner speech at the National Conference of State Legislatures that he was declaring his candidacy – against his sister, state Rep. Gayla McKenzie, R-Gravette, for her office. When the women in the audience chanted her name, he told them he instead would run against his uncle for president.

That would be Hutchinson, who recently said a White House run is “on the table.”

Hendren’s name has been mentioned often concerning the 2022 governor’s race, but not as the first name on the list. Lt. Governor Tim Griffin is definitely running for governor, and Attorney General Leslie Rutledge is considered a possible opponent. Continue reading Hendren ‘not telling them no’ in 2022 governor’s race

Cotton vs. Mahony: One had Chick-fil-A

By Steve Brawner, © 2019 by Steve Brawner Communications, Inc.

If you had no other metric by which to measure Arkansas’ U.S. Senate race, this one might tell you something: One campaign had enough money to cater its kickoff event with Chick-fil-A.

That would be the campaign of U.S. Senator Tom Cotton, the Republican incumbent in an increasingly Republican state.

Cotton has $3.5 million cash on hand, according to the Federal Election Commission. That’s more than enough to feed the hundreds at his campaign kickoff at the Republican Party of Arkansas’ headquarters Saturday.

There, Cotton signaled his campaign themes, as if there were any doubt about what those would be: national security, his natural passion, along with appointing conservative judges, the economy, cutting government, immigration, border security and trade.

Those last three are issues President Trump has brought to the forefront. Republican candidates cannot ignore them; Cotton has fully embraced them. Continue reading Cotton vs. Mahony: One had Chick-fil-A

Boozman running for re-elect ‘if you had to ask me today.’ And Hutchinson?

By Steve Brawner, © 2019 by Steve Brawner Communications, Inc.

Sen. John Boozman is 68 years old, which is still relatively young, but he’s had some past health issues and is entirely too nice to be in Washington these days. When I asked him Saturday if he plans to run for re-election in 2022, I figured he’d give me a standard non-answer to avoid saying he probably isn’t.

Instead, he said this: “If you had to ask me today, I’ve got to talk to my family and all of those kind of things, I’d say yes. … But that’s a long time. It’s not really two years. It’s like three-and-a-half years.”

My assumption was wrong. Not the first time, and not the last, and that’s just for this column.

Good Roads Foundation
Gov. Asa Hutchinson will be term-limited out of office in 2022. Then what?

Meanwhile, by 2022, Gov. Asa Hutchinson will be term-limited out of office. He’s a week older than Boozman, as both were born in December 1950, but he’s had no health issues and plays basketball pretty vigorously for a man pushing 70. Asked in March by journalist Roby Brock if he will be finished with politics when his term ends, he replied, “Wouldn’t count me out.”

So if Hutchinson isn’t “out,” where would he try to get in? There’s no place in state government after being governor. He could return to the U.S. House of Representatives, where he served three terms. But being one of 435 representatives would not be a promotion after being one of 50 governors, particularly if Republicans are still in the minority there. Plus, he’d have to unseat an incumbent, presumably Rep. Steve Womack in the Third District, assuming Womack still wants to keep the seat in 2022. Continue reading Boozman running for re-elect ‘if you had to ask me today.’ And Hutchinson?